Jakarta, June 13 (Antara) - The Prabowo-Hatta pair's electability this
month surpassed that of the Joko Widodo-Jusuf Kalla (Jokowi-JK) duo,
which was earlier the favorite to win the election during various
surveys, the National Survey Institute (LSN) claimed on Thursday.
Earlier,
according to survey results furnished by the Indonesian Polling and
Survey Institute (SPIN), the electability of the Prabowo Subianto-Hatta
Rajasa duo outshined that of the Jokowi-JK pair.
The
LSN conducted the survey on June 1-8, 2014, while the SPIN carried out
the opinion poll on June 1-4, 2014. The survey result of LSN shows
Prabowo's electability rating at 46.3 percent over that of Jokowi-JK at
38.8 percent. The SPIN's survey shows the electability statistics of
Prabowo's team at 44.9 percent over the Jokowi's pair at 40.1 percent.
However,
the People's Synergy for Indonesian Democracy (Sigma) Institute still
views the results of the surveys as a balanced support for both the
presidential and vice presidential candidate pairs.
Moreover, a political observer pointed out that the rising electability
of the presidential candidates showed stiff competition between both
rival pairs.
According to political observer Nicolaus Pira
Bunga of the Kupang-based Nusa Cendana University, the earnest efforts
by the success teams of the two presidential candidate pairs and the
mass media publications have fostered competition.
Said
Salahuddin, the director of Sigma, noted that the survey results
indicated that the presidential candidate pairs were still gaining
balanced public support.
"I
see that the support for the Prabowo camp tends to increase. The same
thing is also happening with the Jokowi team," Said Salahuddin stated on
Thursday.
Increasing support for the two presidential candidate pairs may come from swing voters.
After entering the campaign period, particularly after the first round
of the presidential debate on Monday, voters who were still doubtful
about their choice, began to make up their mind regarding who they
intend to elect.
"With regard to voters' participation, this
matter will have positive meaning. I saw that the map of support of the
two rival pairs is still balanced," he added.
Pira Bunga is of the view that there is intense competition between the
two rival pairs. This is due to aggressive media publications.
He said that the mass media continued to publicize the electability
statistics of the Prabowo Subianto-Hatta Rajasa and the Jokowi-JK pairs.
The political observer also cited the results of a survey by the Cyrus
Network conducted on May 25-31, 2014, which showed that the
Prabowo-Hatta pair's electability statistic was 38.8 percent, while that
of the Jokowi-JK duo was 51.6 percent.
But, by early this month, the electability statistics of Prabowo's team
as shown by the LSN and SPIN surveys has exceeded that of the Jokowi-JK
pair.
"The results of Cyrus Network's survey in May differed from that of the
Indonesian Polling and Survey Institute, which showed that the
electability statistic of the Prabowo-Hatta pair was 44.9 percent, while
that of the Jokowi-JK duo was 40.1 percent, he remarked.
Pira Bunga also admitted that the increasing trend of the Prabowo
team's electability statistic occurred after the General Elections
Commission (KPU) held a declaration on peaceful elections on June 3,
2014.
LSN Executive Director Umar S. Bakry remarked on Thursday that his
institute conducted the poll on June 1-8, 2014, the results of which
revealed that the Prabowo-Hatta pair's electability rating reached 46.3
percent, while the Jokowi-JK pair's rating gained 38.8 percent.
The survey was conducted using multistage random sampling method and
involved 1,070 respondents from various provinces in the country. The
respondents were those who were eligible voters for the July 9
presidential election.
The improvement in Prabowo-Hatta's electability rating was related to
the trend of rising public uncertainty with regard to Jokowi's
capability and his political machinery that had failed to work
optimally, Bakry claimed.
"The
public seems to have reached a point of saturation with regard to
Jokowi as he has received excessive exposure from the media," Umar
added.
With a margin error of 3.0 percent, the results of the survey revealed
that the Prabowo-Hatta pair gained 47.6 percent of votes in West Java,
48.4 percent in East Java, 43.3 percent in Central Java, and 51.1
percent in North Sumatra.
Instead, the Jokowi-JK pair gained 28.2 percent of votes in West Java,
44.6 percent (East Java), 47.5 percent (Central Java), 31.9 percent
(North Sumatra), 30 percent (Banten), 35 percent (Jakarta), 42 percent
(South Sulawesi), 39.4 percent (Lampung), and 36.3 percent of votes in
South Sumatra.
Indonesia will organize a free and democratic presidential election on
July 9, 2014, which will be contested by only two pairs of presidential
and vice presidential candidates: Prabowo Subianto-Hatta Rajasa and Joko
Widodo (Jokowi)-Jusuf Kalla.
Prabowo Subianto is a retired military general and the chairman of
Gerindra (Great Indonesia Movement) Party, while his running mate, Hatta
Rajasa, is a former coordinating minister for economic affairs and the
chairman of the National Mandate Party (PAN).
Jokowi is Jakarta's Governor and a cadre of the Indonesian Democratic
Party of Struggle (PDIP), and his running mate, Jusuf Kalla (JK), is a
former vice president and a senior politician of the Golkar Party.
The Jokowi-JK pair is supported by five political parties: the
Indonesia Democratic Party Struggle (PDIP), the Nation Awakening Party
(PKB), the People's Conscience Party (Hanura), the Justice and
Indonesian Unity Party (PKPI), and the National Democrats Party (Nasdem)
established by Surya Paloh, who owns Metro TV and the Media Indonesia
newspaper.
The Prabowo-Hatta pair is supported by Gerindra, PAN, the Prosperous
Justice Party (PKS), the United Development Party (PPP), the Moon and
Star Party (PBB), and the Golkar Party, whose current chairman is
Aburizal Bakrie, the owner of TV One.
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(T.A014/INE)
EDITED BY INE
(T.SYS/A/BESSR/F. Assegaf) 13-06-2014 12:43:0 |
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