Kamis, 25 September 2014

NUMBER OF POOR IN INDONESIA COULD POTENTIALLY INCREASE

by Andi Abdussalam
          Jakarta, Sept 25 (Antara) - Records of the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) reveal that Indonesia was home to some 28.28 million poor people last March, higher than the 28.17 million recorded in the same period the year before.
         BPS Chief Suryamin said recently that the rise in the number of poor people could be attributed to the losses incurred by those working in the agricultural sector as the harvest season had been delayed due to unfavorable climatic conditions.
         A World Bank reported that  the rate of reduction of poverty and inequality in Indonesia had  declined, and was only 0.7 percent in 2012-2013. This was the lowest seen in the last decade.
         The World Bank has also reported that around 68 million people in Indonesia almost fell in the "poor" category as their income was marginally higher than that of those in the "poor families" category.
         According to Rizal Ramli, who was the Chief Economic Minister during Abdurrahman Wahid's term as president, there could be a further rise in the number of the poor if the incoming government raised the price of subsidized fuel.
        Ramli added that in addition to these 28.2 million, another 10 million people nearly fall in the "poor" category.  If the price of subsidized fuel is raised, it would lead to a hike in the cost of transportation and commodities as well as the inflation rate, leading to another rise in the number of poor. 
    "If the next government raises fuel prices, the number of poor people in Indonesia will most likely rise to 38 million," the former Chief Economic Minister stated.


 
         Moreover, there are 150 million other people who face economic difficulties due to increase in prices of commodities and transportation. Ramli suggested that instead of increasing the price of oil, the concept of  cross subsidization should be adopted.
         Also, preemptive measures must be taken to prevent any further increase in the number of poor.
         Agriculture observer H.S. Dillon, who is also the President's Special Envoy for Poverty Eradication, noted that the agricultural sector must be developed to bring down the number of poor in the country.
         "Indonesia can reflect on the success of the New Order Government implemented in the past when the agricultural sector thrived. At that time, the number of poor had dropped drastically from 40.10 percent to 11.3 percent," Dillon said here on Thursday.
         Dillon explained that agriculture should be given primary importance in the poverty elimination program---some 68 percent of the country's poor lived in villages and 48 percent of them worked in the agricultural sector.
         If the government revitalizes the agricultural sector through the expansion of fertile agricultural land in various provinces and development of adequate irrigation facilities, productivity of the poor in villages will increase by about 60 to 70 percent.
         Dillon further stated that as much as hundred thousand hectares of productive agricultural land had been turned into roads and palm oil plantations.
         As a result, the Ministry of Agriculture is now carrying out agriculture development programs. These include a food self-reliance village development program and one to help people develop yards to grow food crops.
         The program aims to increase the nutritional intake of poor families and help them meet their food requirement.
         "If necessary, Indonesia should follow the example of other developing countries that have been successful in reducing poverty. Indonesia only needs to repeat the success it saw in 1966 when it saw the highest decrease in the number of poor in the history of the world's development," Dillon said.
         He also suggested that funding given to 16 ministries to eradicate poverty should be withdrawn and that the responsibility be given to only one ministry for its effective management.
         "The poverty alleviation funds given to 16 ministries should be withdrawn and handed over to one ministry. Allocating these funds (to different ministries) has seen no impact so far as they lacked coordination," Dillon remarked.
        He added that the program could not be carried out effectively as each of the ministries followed its own way of functioning.
         Furthermore, Public Works Deputy Minister Hermanto Dardak said that poverty in Indonesia had also been caused by a gap in the economic development of a number of regions and that the problem could only be solved by regionalization and mapping out of regions correctly.
         "Regionalization can be carried out by concentrating growth centers in cities, and having development zones so that it (economic development) could spread to and have an impact in other areas as well," Dardak noted in a written statement on Sunday.
         He said that the strategy aimed at equitable development should be implemented through intensive intervention on the part of the government so that surrounding zones eventually develop and the locals' income improves.
         In the meantime, Vivi Alatas, chief economist of the World Bank said  providing and improving access to jobs could reduce poverty and economic inequality.
         "The poor should be assisted by providing them with jobs that improve their income," Vivi Alatas said on Tuesday.
         She added that they should have assured access to proper healthcare facilities and education. This, she said, could increase their capabilities and help them escape poverty. The World Bank economist suggested that the government increase the budget allocated to programs for social welfare.
         In 2014, only 0.7 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was allocated to social assistance programs, which is much lower than what other developing countries have been setting aside for similar initiatives. The government of Brazil, for example, earmarked 1.5 percent of its GDP to such social assistance programs, Vivi noted.***3***

(A014/INE/a014)
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(T.SYS/A/BESSR/A. Abdussalam) 25-09-2014 22:15:

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