Rabu, 21 Agustus 2013

GOVT BRACING ITSELF FOR FACING ECONOMIC UPHEAVALS

By Andi Abdussalam
          Jakarta, Aug 22 (Antara) - The Indonesian government is formulating a package of economic policies it will announce on Friday in the face of current economic upheavals.
         The Ministry of Finance, the central bank (Bank Indonesia/BI) and the Financial Service Authority (OJK) are now engaged in a close coordination an effort to maintain national economic stability.
         "We are taking anticipatory measures in the face of the current economic conditions. We have now good communication and exchanged information to share similar views," Finance Minister Chatib Basri said after having a coordination meeting with BI Governor Agus Martowardojo and OJK Chief Commissioner Muliaman Hadad on Wednesday.
         Chatib said that the current conditions were different from the economic crisis in 2008 or in 1998. But the government is preparing a step in the form of a package of economic policies to stave off current account deficit, the weakening of the rupiah currency and to maintain growth.
         President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono chaired a cabinet meeting to discuss efforts to face the current economic conditions on Wednesday.
         "The government will formulate measures to maintain financial stability, curb inflation and maintain growth so that it will not drop sharply," the President said after chairing the meeting.
         The package of economic policies is expected to be implemented even before next week.


         According to Finance Minister Chatib Basri, the package will be announced on Friday. "We are currently finalizing the package. The public will be informed of its release on Friday. The policies have been bound together in a package because they are interdependent since we are presently facing an unusual set of circumstances," Chatib sated.
         Chatib noted that national economic conditions, which are now in a state of flux due to the depreciation of the rupiah and the drop in the share price index, could be overcome by curbing the current account deficit. This can be achieved now that oil imports and fuel consumption have started to drop.
         Bambang Brodjonegoro, acting chief of the Fiscal Policy Agency of the finance ministry, said  the current account deficit continued to widen while the  rise in the prices of subsidized oil fuels is expected to have its impact only in third quarter of the year.
         The government has recently raised the prices of subsidized premium gasoline and diesel oils.
         The impact of the increase in the prices of subsidized oil fuels on oil and gas imports could not yet be determined, he said.
         "Our main concern is that the increase in the current account deficit certainly will have its impact on the rupiah exchange rate, state bond market and stock market," he said.
         Therefore, according to Finance Minister Chatib, coordination with the central bank and the OJK is being held.  "In the short term, we must focus on the stability of the financial system without sacrificing economic growth. Bank Indonesia and the finance ministry have discussed efforts to safeguard it and to formulate a comprehensive package," he said.
         "Oil imports in the second quarter dropped to 10.8 percent in the current account. Fuel consumption in July grew 4 percent, where it is typically 6 to 7 percent, so we are hopeful that the current account deficit will decrease," Chatib said.
         He explained that the government must ensure that the current account deficit in the third quarter is significantly smaller by implementing a package of policies to overcome upheavals and stave off an economic slowdown.
         Deputy Governor of Bank Indonesia Perry Warjiyo said the central bank would take a series of steps to create stability in the financial system  and reduce the current account deficit, which swelled from US$5.8 billion in the first quarter to US$9.8 billion in the second quarter of this year.
         The surge in the current account deficit was attributed to shrinking surplus in trade of commodities outside oil and gas and widening deficit in services  and income accounts.
         "We will continue to seek rupiah stability in line with its fundamental condition. We will also continue to buy state securities from secondary market  and at the same time seek to create stability in the market of state securities," he said.
         He predicted that the current account deficit would decline from 4.4 percent of the country's Gross Domestic Products (GDP) in the second quarter to 2.7 percent  in the third quarter of this year as a result of a cut in oil and gas imports.
         The policy package also includes measures to overcome financial market problems. "Today, the President will also update measures that must be adopted to respond to external pressures on the financial market," presidential special aide for economic affairs Firmanzah said  at the presidential office on Wednesday.
         On Monday afternoon, the Indonesian Stock Exchange BEI index closed 5.58 percent lower to 4,313.52 points and rupiah lose more value to 10,540 per US dollar from 10,380 earlier.
         Bank Indonesia blamed global and domestic factors for the depreciation of the rupiah over the past few days. The central bank would continue to operate in the foreign exchange market, conducting intervention efforts to stabilize the rupiah rate.
         Bambang said the global and domestic conditions are both behind the market and rupiah instability - speculation about the US central bank cutting or canceling its financial stimulus plan, and pressure on the country's current account deficit.
         "Global speculation is when The Fed would reduce or stop its financial stimulus operations from the world financial market. It is also the speculation in our market which still depends on foreign investor in capital inflows," he said.
         That is why, according to BI Governor Agus Martowarojo, coordination will continue to be made among the finance ministry, BI and OJK. "BI, with the government and the OJK, is committed to responding the current conditions. We all know the current conditions are caused by external factor, particularly the US financial stimulus, and internal factor such as the current account deficit," Agus said.
         In the meantime, OJK Chief Commissioner Muliaman Hadad expressed optimism that financial turmoil marked with the depreciation of the rupiah currency and fall of stocks price index will improve.
         "I still have a big optimism. We believe that the performance of financial market will rise based on our expectation that all indicators will improve in the third and fourth quarters of this year," he said.
         Muliaman said that the performance of issuers in the first semester was still relatively good compared with their counterparts in Thailand, the Philippines and other developing countries.
         "We have better underlying asset. This is a basic capital that we should take advantage of. We do not want other people to take advantage of it in a condition like now," he noted.
         Muliaman said the OJK will continue to increase supervision to prevent further worsening conditions.
         "The OJK is also preparing new regulations to respond the emergence of new crisis. The developments of price index today looked already changed. We do not know what change will take place tomorrow. We hope regulations we are preparing will enable the current conditions to recover," Muliaman asserted.***3***
(T.A014/INE/B003)

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